Glossary
A 1–10,000 numeric score we publish per trade indicating how 'notable' the position is, based on size, leverage, sector context, and politician history.
The Conviction Score is a per-trade numeric ranking Disclosed Capitol publishes alongside every congressional trade. It is designed to surface high-signal trades from the daily firehose — without requiring the user to read every filing.
The score combines five components, normalized 0–10,000: 1. Dollar size — log-scaled trade-amount-bracket midpoint 2. Leverage — multiplied for options positions (call/put, deep-OTM vs ITM) 3. Politician baseline — members with consistent positive historical alpha get a small bonus 4. Sector relevance — trades in a sector matching the member's committee assignments get a bonus (potential conflict-of-interest signal) 5. Cluster effect — multiplied if other politicians are trading the same name in a short window
Conviction tiers used in alerts and the email template: - LOW (< 1,500) - MEDIUM (1,500–4,999) - HIGH (≥ 5,000)
The score is purely a discovery aid — it does not predict future returns and is not investment advice.
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