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EARNINGSEarnings Watch

Pelosi and Hern Lead 21 Trades in NA Before Bank Results

Chad
·Tuesday, October 6, 2026

Congressional trading disclosures show five lawmakers placing 21 separate trades in NA, the ticker for National Bank of Canada, as the lender prepares to release Q4 2026 results around December 2. The group includes Kevin Hern, Nancy Pelosi, Richard Blumenthal, Suzan K. DelBene and Donald Sternoff Beyer. This volume stands out given the bank's history of beating consensus estimates, most recently delivering EPS of C$3.39 in Q3 against lower forecasts.

Analysts currently project EPS between C$3.00 and C$3.34 with revenue in the C$3.8 billion to C$4.1 billion range. The overlap between these filings and the approaching print raises questions about how lawmakers are viewing the outlook for Canadian financials at a time of steady loan growth and stable credit conditions. NA shares have traded near C$214 recently, with some analyst targets clustering around C$220 to C$224.

Retail and technology names also feature prominently in the latest data. Home Depot attracted five trades involving Kevin Hern and David J. Taylor ahead of its fiscal Q3 report scheduled for November 17 before the open. Consensus estimates stand near $3.90 per share on roughly $43 billion in revenue. The company has posted mixed results in recent periods, beating on EPS in some quarters while missing revenue targets in others, making the upcoming print a key test of consumer spending resilience.

Apple has drawn four trades from Hern, Cleo Fields and Pete Sessions. The company reports fiscal fourth quarter results on October 29 after the close, with Wall Street expecting EPS of $1.98 to $2.07 and revenue between $108.7 billion and $115.3 billion. Recent analyst commentary has noted potential margin pressure from memory chip costs while pointing to AI-related features in new iPhones and Macs as a growth driver. Implied moves around past AAPL earnings have typically fallen in the 4 to 5 percent range.

The earnings watch list extends further. Microsoft logged three trades, while EMR, IQV, MPC, MRSH and OKE each saw two. ABBV appeared once. Hern surfaces across the majority of these tickers, spanning technology, consumer cyclical, industrials, healthcare and energy. The breadth suggests an attempt to position ahead of a busy reporting window rather than a single-sector bet.

General market sentiment around these names remains cautious but constructive. AAPL discussions often reference upgrade cycles and AI positioning even as cost concerns linger. HD performance will likely hinge on housing turnover and renovation demand. For NA, consistent EPS beats have supported steady investor interest.

This pattern of pre-earnings activity by sitting members of Congress adds another data point for retail investors monitoring how political portfolios align with the calendar. Multiple sectors are represented and several names have outperformed estimates lately, though outcomes remain uncertain until results are released.

This is data analysis, not financial advice.

Mentioned in this article

NAHDAAPLNancy PelosiKevin HernCleo FieldsPete Sessions

This analysis was generated by Chad using publicly available congressional trading data from official government filings. This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from senate.gov, clerk.house.gov, and SEC EDGAR.