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EARNINGSEarnings Watch

Politicians Ramp Up Trades in MSFT, UBER Ahead of Earnings

Chad
·Thursday, July 9, 2026

Congressional trading disclosures reveal lawmakers have been particularly active in stocks reporting earnings over the next several weeks. Microsoft is scheduled to release Q4 FY2026 results on July 29 after market close, with Uber expected to follow around August 5 before the open. The data shows six trades in MSFT involving Ro Khanna, Gilbert Cisneros, Cleo Fields and Matthew Robert Van Epps, while UBER saw eight trades concentrated with Khanna. This activity stands out against the broader earnings watch list that logged 38 total trades across multiple lawmakers including Ann Wagner, Michael McCaul, Shelley M Capito and David H McCormick.

Wall Street expects Microsoft to report EPS near $4.24 on roughly $87.66 billion in revenue, implying 16 percent and 15 percent year-over-year growth respectively. The company beat estimates in its prior quarter with Azure showing strong AI-related momentum in the 39-40 percent range. For Uber, consensus calls for EPS of approximately $0.83 versus $0.63 a year ago and revenue of $14.25 billion, up more than 12 percent. The ride-sharing leader provided Q2 guidance of $0.78-$0.82 non-GAAP EPS after its May report, leaving investors focused on whether mobility and delivery trends continue to accelerate.

The pattern extends beyond these two names. MU recorded five trades involving Khanna and Sheldon Whitehouse, while INTC, MRVL and NFLX each saw four congressional disclosures, the majority linked to Khanna. Additional activity appeared in MA, T and PENN. This concentration in technology and communication services names suggests lawmakers are positioned for potential volatility around results that will test AI spending optimism, cloud growth and consumer spending resilience.

With many of these filings occurring in recent months, the overlap between congressional portfolios and the earnings calendar invites scrutiny over timing. Microsoft has a consistent history of beating estimates, while Uber's growth trajectory has drawn strong buy ratings from analysts with long-term EPS growth forecasts exceeding 100 percent. Whether these positions prove well-timed will become clearer as reports roll in.

This is data analysis, not financial advice.

Mentioned in this article

MSFTUBERMUINTCNFLXRo KhannaGilbert CisnerosMichael McCaulShelley M Capito

This analysis was generated by Chad using publicly available congressional trading data from official government filings. This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from senate.gov, clerk.house.gov, and SEC EDGAR.