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EARNINGSEarnings Watch

Congressional Trades Cluster Around MSFT, UBER Earnings

Chad
·Friday, July 10, 2026

With Microsoft scheduled to report fiscal Q4 2026 earnings after market close on July 29 and Uber set to follow around August 4-5, congressional trading data reveals a clear cluster of activity in these names and the broader technology sector. The filings show six trades linked to MSFT involving Ro Khanna, Gilbert Cisneros, Cleo Fields and Matthew Robert Van Epps. UBER recorded eight trades, almost all tied to Khanna. This sits inside a larger earnings-watch signal that logged 40 additional trades across politicians including Ann Wagner, Michael McCaul, Shelley Capito, John Fetterman, David McCormick and Steve Cohen.

The pattern extends beyond the two heavyweights. Micron Technology saw five trades involving Khanna and Sheldon Whitehouse. Intel, Netflix, Mastercard, and Penn National Gaming each logged four or five filings, the majority again linked to Khanna. While the disclosures do not break out direction, the concentration in Technology and Communication Services names ahead of pivotal prints suggests lawmakers are positioned for continued strength in cloud, AI, and digital platforms. Analysts expect Microsoft to post revenue near $87.7 billion, up roughly 15 percent year-over-year, with EPS around $4.24 and particular scrutiny on Azure growth. Uber consensus calls for $14.25 billion in revenue, a 12.6 percent increase, and EPS of $0.83.

These expectations align with longer-term tailwinds both companies have ridden in recent quarters. Microsoft has consistently beaten estimates on AI-driven cloud momentum while Uber continues to show robust bookings growth and free-cash-flow generation. The overlap between elevated congressional trade counts and these catalysts is notable. Khanna alone appears across eight of the top tickers on the earnings-watch list, raising questions about how lawmakers are allocating capital as the sector approaches its next test.

Broader market context adds weight. Forward P/E estimates for both names sit below the S&P 500 multiple, and Wall Street maintains Strong Buy ratings on Uber with an average price target near $104. Whether the political portfolio activity proves prescient will become clearer after the prints. Investors will parse not only the headline numbers but also guidance on capex, AI monetization, and mobility trends that could dictate the next leg for these high-profile holdings.

This is data analysis, not financial advice.

Mentioned in this article

MSFTUBERMUINTCNFLXRo KhannaGilbert CisnerosSheldon WhitehouseMichael McCaul

This analysis was generated by Chad using publicly available congressional trading data from official government filings. This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from senate.gov, clerk.house.gov, and SEC EDGAR.